Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 342.211752 390.353631 444.655631 510.801666 589.680593 681.330937 796.755114
2024-12-22 266.966242 327.331982 401.979304 502.440990 636.233080 811.391065 1063.362262
2024-12-29 229.475554 294.625189 380.134187 503.159029 680.042751 932.412539 1333.761024
2025-01-05 199.504108 265.149482 355.294499 491.892020 700.648569 1020.261362 1573.790018
2025-01-12 179.355945 245.471467 339.851482 489.495375 730.991607 1125.382006 1865.700722
2025-01-19 157.679585 220.636024 313.195125 465.177235 721.175275 1161.488972 2044.846181
2025-01-26 150.753340 216.413568 316.319530 487.290396 790.484791 1346.245352 2558.936886
2025-02-02 146.280121 215.197181 323.587641 516.743819 877.334733 1582.704614 3264.539035
2025-02-09 136.906574 205.209009 315.402282 518.069856 912.141791 1724.684489 3810.918199
2025-02-16 126.150036 191.934262 300.259075 504.668703 915.686848 1801.420800 4225.101256
2025-02-23 117.229994 180.881272 287.734736 494.351058 923.443431 1888.927887 4704.829719
2025-03-02 112.879879 177.081563 287.358244 506.937954 981.225672 2106.996437 5667.798387
2025-03-09 106.921941 170.225705 281.210417 508.129002 1016.218432 2283.864663 6618.290328
2025-03-16 99.934334 161.044454 270.014792 497.795872 1023.558417 2392.715573 7407.647415
2025-03-23 95.104936 155.285752 264.591422 498.671820 1057.474720 2584.580553 8641.507508
2025-03-30 89.282460 147.285963 254.173737 487.516365 1059.811076 2686.498347 9583.121011
2025-04-06 84.999648 141.792214 248.110043 485.147340 1084.155639 2863.696968 11011.663242
2025-04-13 78.715188 132.163999 233.147412 461.096514 1047.448822 2836.247213 11423.088412
2025-04-20 77.748398 132.455437 237.980358 482.966662 1139.301897 3269.292359 14721.616054
2025-04-27 77.451552 133.984261 245.444654 512.092187 1258.674949 3853.678153 19769.321270
2025-05-04 74.566454 130.269336 241.658763 513.403351 1296.766476 4148.673909 23335.523597
2025-05-11 70.624550 124.224367 232.464142 500.152070 1287.807293 4251.656426 25593.698761
2025-05-18 67.219550 119.055669 224.785590 489.949151 1286.876882 4390.994827 28432.721684